From 50koz to 100koz: The Production Roadmap

Phased, cash-flow-funded development pathway from initial production to ~100,000 oz/yr by FY29.

Pan African Resources produced 15,560 ounces of gold from its Tennant Creek operations in the first half of FY26 and has maintained full-year guidance of 46,000 to 50,000 ounces. The medium-term target is clear: approximately 100,000 ounces per annum by FY29, a near doubling of current guided output that would position the Australian operations to contribute roughly 36% of total group production at current South African output levels.

The roadmap is structured around a phased, internally funded development strategy. Stage 1, centred on the Nobles Carbon-in-Leach processing facility, is now operational and producing from near-surface oxide deposits including Eldorado and Golden Forty. This initial production base generates cash flow that can be reinvested into more ambitious development stages without shareholder dilution. Stage 2 is anchored by the Warrego project, a substantial multi-commodity resource with a completed pre-feasibility study. Warrego represents the inflection point required to elevate Tennant Creek from a small-scale operation to a major production centre. Beyond Warrego, the pipeline includes the expedited development of the Juno underground operation and a portfolio of satellite deposits, each at varying stages of evaluation and capable of being brought online sequentially.

This layered approach deliberately avoids single-project concentration risk. Capital is sequenced against cash flow generation, with each stage de-risked by the preceding one. The company’s operational discipline, demonstrated by the on-time, within-budget delivery of the Nobles plant, in an area where no production facility existed in the last 30 years, provides confidence in its ability to execute against this multi-staged plan.

For investors seeking exposure to gold production growth without dilution risk, the internally funded, phased development approach at Tennant Creek offers a defined and de-risked pathway from current output to meaningful scale.

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